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Private equity returns are broken: the case of David Lloyd
Private equity returns have collapsed as the $3.2 trillion exit crisis deepens. Why David Lloyd's sale to itself reveals an industry model that's fundamentally broken.
Robin Powell
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The Terry Smith timing trap: why most investors lost money
Terry Smith's Fundsmith beat the market for a decade, then trailed four straight years. £3.31bn fled in 2024. Most investors lost money vs a tracker. Why? Timing. They bought high after stellar returns, sold low during underperformance. Jack Bogle's iron law: money arrives after gains, leaves during losses. Even star managers can't beat that.
Robin Powell
2 days ago6 min read


Cathie Wood calls indexing 'a form of socialism'. Has she lost the plot?
When Cathie Wood declared index funds "a form of socialism", she joined decades of active managers attacking passive investing on ideological grounds. But proxy voting data reveals something awkward: ARK voted with management 99.2% of the time versus Vanguard's 98.5%. We examine the evidence on index fund governance, ARK's performance record, and why "passive investing destroys capitalism" rhetoric intensifies when active managers underperform.
Robin Powell
Oct 2910 min read


Optimism as a business model: Why investment consultants can't afford to recommend simplicity
nvestment consultants have systematically raised their return assumptions for alternative assets since 2001 — not because performance improved, but because complexity generates fees. New research from Stanford and Harvard reveals how consultant optimism drives billions in pension allocations, despite mounting evidence that simple, low-cost indexed strategies often outperform alternatives-heavy portfolios. The entire boom may be built on structural conflicts rather than superi
Robin Powell
Oct 2814 min read


You check your energy bill. Why not your investment fees?
You check your energy bill religiously. When your provider raised charges by £12, you noticed within days. You've compared broadband three times this year, saving £8 monthly. But when did you last calculate your all-in investment fees? That £3 broadband overcharge equals £36 yearly. A 1% overcharge on a £500,000 portfolio equals £5,000 annually—139 times more. Yet the smaller cost receives obsessive attention whilst the larger goes unexamined for decades. This article reveals
Robin Powell
Oct 279 min read


Fidelity's active funds: how good are they really?
Fidelity's active funds built their reputation on Peter Lynch's legendary returns. But 30 years of data reveals zero funds with statistically significant outperformance. Most telling? Fidelity's own $723 billion bet on zero-fee index funds—bigger than its flagship active fund. When Peter Lynch's company stops backing Peter Lynch's strategy, the evidence speaks louder than marketing.
Robin Powell
Oct 259 min read


Trump trades and the forecasting trap: why political betting reveals a costly investment truth
Trump trades—betting on presidential policies — seem obvious. Reality? Investors who bet against Trump taking action earned S&P 500 returns. Believers lost 20%.
Robin Powell
Oct 2412 min read
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