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What is evidence-based investing?
Nobody can establish who first used the phrase 'evidence-based investing', and no regulator defines it. Robin Powell, who was given the name by Larry Swedroe in 2015 and is sometimes wrongly credited with coining it, sets out what it actually means: four tests of what counts as evidence, borrowed from a medical parallel that hit the same crisis twelve years ago. Including where he goes further than a global tracker, and why he holds that position less firmly than he used to.

Robin Powell
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Are government bonds really safe?
Are government bonds safe? Three centuries of UK and US data show they protect in recessions but fail during wars and pandemics — precisely when investors need them most. Here's what the evidence says, and two things you can do about it.

Robin Powell
Mar 309 min read


How much of your portfolio should be in stocks?
How much of your portfolio should be in stocks? It's one of investing's most important questions — and the standard answer is costing the average investor the equivalent of 2% of their lifetime consumption. Yale economists have finally built something better, and it fits in a spreadsheet.

Robin Powell
Mar 138 min read


The case against concentrated funds: new evidence on the downsides of conviction
A major Morningstar study of more than 5,800 funds has delivered a clear verdict on concentrated funds: they charge higher fees, deliver lower returns, and suffer deeper losses than their more diversified peers. The evidence suggests most investors would be better off on the main road.

Robin Powell
Feb 238 min read


Why portfolio diversification matters more than ever
With the Magnificent Seven dominating the S&P 500, concentration risk is at historic highs. Here's why portfolio diversification remains your best defence.

Robin Powell
Dec 1, 20258 min read
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