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The Terry Smith timing trap: why most investors lost money
Terry Smith's Fundsmith beat the market for a decade, then trailed four straight years. £3.31bn fled in 2024. Most investors lost money vs a tracker. Why? Timing. They bought high after stellar returns, sold low during underperformance. Jack Bogle's iron law: money arrives after gains, leaves during losses. Even star managers can't beat that.

Robin Powell
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Is private equity worth it? The numbers behind the hype
Is private equity worth it? New research shows PE's 3.8% annual edge over public markets is far smaller than the industry claims, has been shrinking since 2006, and partly disappears once you adjust for leverage, size, and sector exposure. With all-in fees reaching 6% per year, retail investors should ask why the velvet rope is coming down just as institutional outperformance has faded. The answer: the industry needs your money.

Robin Powell
Dec 11, 20258 min read


Private equity returns are broken: the case of David Lloyd
Private equity returns have collapsed as the $3.2 trillion exit crisis deepens. Why David Lloyd's sale to itself reveals an industry model that's fundamentally broken.

Robin Powell
Sep 28, 202512 min read


Retail access to private markets: hidden risks investors can’t ignore
Retail access to private markets has exploded in recent years. Yet new research shows these products aren’t the safe diversifiers they appear. Hidden behind the glossy brochures are smoothed returns, conditional liquidity, and fees of 4–5% a year. Worse still, the evidence suggests that wealthier investors are offered higher-quality funds, while mass-market buyers are left with weaker versions.

Robin Powell
Sep 23, 20255 min read


Private equity’s fundraising crunch: investors call time on the boom
Private equity firms are dangling incentives that would have been unthinkable a few years ago. Management fee cuts, rebates on deal...

Robin Powell
Aug 24, 20253 min read


Private equity in 401(k)s: quick headlines, long timelines, hidden risks
Private equity in 401(k)s has been hailed as a breakthrough for American savers. But while the headlines promise fast change, the reality is slower, costlier and far riskier. History shows high failure rates, heavy fees and poor outcomes for investors. The winners may be asset managers, not workers.

Robin Powell
Aug 22, 20256 min read


The Leeds Reforms: Why financial deregulation feels like déjà vu all over again
Chancellor Rachel Reeves' Leeds Reforms promise growth through financial deregulation, but they risk repeating pre-2008 mistakes. Pension funds face pressure to invest in expensive private equity, consumer protections are being quietly eroded, and banking safeguards dismantled. It's regulatory amnesia in action - and ordinary savers will pay the price.

TEBI
Jul 15, 20258 min read


Through the looking glass: What the private equity industry doesn't want you to see
The private equity industry promises profound pension improvements for retail investors, but Oxford professor Ludovic Phalippou's research reveals a different reality. Like Alice in Wonderland, investors risk falling down a rabbit hole where fund managers capture £1 trillion in fees while delivering returns barely better than simple index funds.

TEBI
Jul 2, 20257 min read


How IRR manipulation deceives private equity investors
Private equity firms use IRR manipulation to claim impossible returns. KKR boasts 25.5% annually since 1976, Apollo claims 39%. But if KKR's first £31m fund truly compounded at 26%, it would be worth £2.6 trillion today. As Professor Phalippou explains, "IRR has become the theatre of private equity performance." With retail investors increasingly targeted, UK regulators must stop this deception.

TEBI
May 27, 20255 min read
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