top of page
BLOG
News, views and analysis
The Evidence-Based Investor a proud partner with
FEATURED POST
The case for factor investing in emerging markets
Most investors either ignore emerging markets or hand their money to active managers who underperform. Academic research points to a better approach: factor investing in emerging markets, targeting the company characteristics that have persistently driven higher returns.
Robin Powell
Search
Fewer bubble warnings mean greater danger
Bubble warnings spiked in late 2025, then faded — but AI stock valuations haven't budged. New research analysing over 5,000 crashes reveals why that's significant: at genuine peaks, warnings are rare and sceptics are ignored. Widespread concern may actually signal safety.
Robin Powell
Jan 2710 min read
What history tells us about expected stock returns after a bull run
New research analysing 153 years of US market data reveals why expected stock returns over the next decade are likely to disappoint. The three forces driving returns — dividends, earnings growth, and P/E changes — rarely pull together when valuations are stretched. With the Shiller CAPE at 40 for only the second time in history, the maths suggests caution. Here's what disciplined investors should do.
Robin Powell
Jan 38 min read
SUBSCRIBE
Simply provide your email address to receive our regular update.
bottom of page