Nobody can establish who first used the phrase 'evidence-based investing', and no regulator defines it. Robin Powell, who was given the name by Larry Swedroe in 2015 and is sometimes wrongly credited with coining it, sets out what it actually means: four tests of what counts as evidence, borrowed from a medical parallel that hit the same crisis twelve years ago. Including where he goes further than a global tracker, and why he holds that position less firmly than he used to.
The investing industry loves to make bold predictions. Financial commentators often appear in the media claiming to foresee market trends or economic turning points. But as history has shown, these forecasts are rarely accurate. While some patterns like increased volatility are more predictable, no one truly knows where the market is headed next. That’s why basing your investment decisions on short-term forecasts can do more harm than good. As Professor ELROY DIMSON explains,
Robin Powell
Jan 20, 20253 min read
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