Nobody can establish who first used the phrase 'evidence-based investing', and no regulator defines it. Robin Powell, who was given the name by Larry Swedroe in 2015 and is sometimes wrongly credited with coining it, sets out what it actually means: four tests of what counts as evidence, borrowed from a medical parallel that hit the same crisis twelve years ago. Including where he goes further than a global tracker, and why he holds that position less firmly than he used to.
Bottom line up front: If you're choosing funds based on past performance, you're likely wasting your time and money. Comprehensive research spanning decades reveals that consistent outperformance among active fund managers is so rare it might as well be random chance — and the few exceptions typically reflect luck rather than skill. The investment industry loves to remind us that "past performance is no guarantee of future results," yet this disclaimer appears to fall on deaf
TEBI
May 26, 20256 min read
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