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Active fund managers claim they earn their fees when markets fall. New Morningstar research spanning 26 years tests this claim. The findings: active funds in downturns do outperform more often, but markets rise 80% of the time, swamping any advantage. When COVID and 2022 stress-tested the theory, most active managers failed to protect investors. The promised shelter turns out to be little more than a coin flip.

It is often claimed that active funds offer greater protection in falling markets. Unlike index funds, active managers can hold cash or shift into bonds to avoid losses. But the evidence suggests otherwise. According to TIM EDWARDS from S&P Dow Jones Indices, most active funds fail to beat the market in bear phases just as they do in bull runs. If you are worried about downside risk, there may be better, cheaper solutions than relying on active management. 1. Active funds sti