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What is evidence-based investing?
Nobody can establish who first used the phrase 'evidence-based investing', and no regulator defines it. Robin Powell, who was given the name by Larry Swedroe in 2015 and is sometimes wrongly credited with coining it, sets out what it actually means: four tests of what counts as evidence, borrowed from a medical parallel that hit the same crisis twelve years ago. Including where he goes further than a global tracker, and why he holds that position less firmly than he used to.

Robin Powell
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Rebalancing your portfolio won’t make you richer. Do it anyway
Between shares and bonds, rebalancing your portfolio doesn't raise returns and usually costs a little. Its value is that it makes you buy what has crashed and sell what has soared, which instinct tells you not to do. The US evidence shows when it bites, how often to bother, and how to make it automatic.

Robin Powell
Oct 187 min read


Why Vanguard is called Vanguard
Fifty years ago this week, the first index fund for ordinary investors went on sale and almost nobody bought it. The company behind it had been named two years earlier after a ship in a picture on its founder's wall. The story Vanguard tells about its own beginnings is tidier than what actually happened, and less useful.

Robin Powell
Sep 44 min read


AI and stock returns: lessons from the railways
he most careful expert forecast of AI's economic effects covers GDP, productivity, employment and inequality. It does not cover share prices. Across 21 developed markets and 120 years of data, economic growth has shown no reliable positive relationship with what shareholders earn. What has correlated is growth in earnings per share, and four mechanisms separate the two. Here is what the evidence says about AI and stock returns, and what the railways and the dot-com boom alrea

TEBI
Aug 410 min read


Investment platform fees explained: how to avoid overpaying
Investment platform fees vary wildly — and small differences compound into serious money over time. Here's how to work out what you're really paying and whether it's time to switch.

Robin Powell
Jan 2810 min read


Vanguard at 50: Proud history, bright future?
Vanguard’s 50-year journey has transformed how everyday investors access and benefit from the financial markets. As it marks this...

TEBI
May 2, 20253 min read
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