Seven steps to better returns without predicting the future

Posted by TEBI on January 2, 2024

Seven steps to better returns without predicting the future



So now we know. The financial pages and investment magazines have been full of tips on how to enjoy better returns in 2024, so all we need to do now is get on and do it, right? If only it were that simple! As TEBI founder ROBIN POWELL explains in his latest article for rockwealth, basing your investment decisions on forecasts and opinions is almost guaranteed to result in long-term underperformance. Thankfully, though, there are ways to generate better returns that don’t involve a crystal ball.


At this time of year, newspapers are full of suggestions about how to improve your investment returns over the next 12 months.

Although some of them are sensible, most of the tips on offer are really not very helpful. Many of them are simply based on what investments performed well or badly in 2023. But the best and worst performers in 2024 are unlikely to be the same as last year.

To pick this year’s winners in advance, you need to predict the future, and that is extremely difficult. It’s far better to avoid such predictions altogether and focus instead on academic evidence and peer-reviewed data.

The good news is, it is possible to enjoy better returns without relying on a crystal ball. Here are seven ways to do it.




Here are some posts you may have missed over the Christmas and New Year period:

2024 will be full of surprises

Burton Malkiel: How passive investing won the argument

What fraction of the fund manager universe is truly gifted?



The evidence shows us time and again that investors tend to enjoy better outcomes when they work with a financial adviser. If you don’t already have one, we may be able to help.

Wherever you are in the world, we will try to put you in contact with an adviser in your area whom we know personally, who shares our evidence-based investment philosophy and who we feel is best able to help you. If we don’t know of anyone suitable we will tell you.

We’re charging advisers a small fee for each successful referral, which will help to fund future content.

Click here and let’s do it.


© The Evidence-Based Investor MMXXIV


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