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Why active funds underperform even when the manager picks well
The managers running the biggest active funds picked stocks that beat the market in 2025 — and most still lagged their benchmark. A Morningstar do-nothing experiment and a body of academic research explain why active funds underperform even when the picking is good: skilled buying undone by poor selling, the hidden cost of trading, and the incentives that keep managers churning. The UK evidence points the same way.

Robin Powell
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High active share funds are now the worst performers
Active share was meant to identify fund managers worth paying for. A new study covering four decades of US fund data finds that high active share funds now systematically underperform low active share funds. The reversal began in 2010 and coincides with the rise of passive investing creating structural pressure on active managers.

Robin Powell
7 hours ago5 min read


UK fund persistence: why yesterday's winners rarely repeat
Theodore Sturgeon argued that the surviving tenth of any field is worth finding. New data from S&P Dow Jones Indices tests whether that holds for UK funds. Of the 80 sterling-denominated UK equity funds in the top quartile at the end of 2021, three were still there four years later. Over two non-overlapping five-year periods, funds starting in the third quartile reached the top far more often than funds already there held their place.

TEBI
Aug 106 min read


How much passive investing is too much?
Warnings that index funds have broken the stock market all imply a threshold: a share of the market at which price discovery fails. Nobody making the argument names it. Owen Lamont, writing in the Financial Analysts Journal, argues that no such number exists short of complete passive ownership, and that what actually determines whether prices stay informative is who is left doing the trading. His case, the strongest peer-reviewed research against it, and what the performance

Robin Powell
Aug 37 min read


Terry Smith, Neil Woodford and the test Smith set for himself
In January 2020, Terry Smith told his investors why Neil Woodford had failed: the star manager changed his game. Five years on, Smith's own Fundsmith letter records the highest turnover in the fund's history and a new taste for momentum — and the way he explains it matches a pattern behavioural researchers have measured in fund managers' own words.

Robin Powell
Jul 158 min read


Fundsmith's underperformance, at 21 times the cost
Terry Smith built Fundsmith on a simple discipline: buy good companies and do nothing. Now, five years into trailing the market, he is turning over half his portfolio and paying more attention to momentum. The strategy that made his name is changing. The fee that came with it is not.

Robin Powell
Jul 93 min read


Why active funds underperform even when the manager picks well
The managers running the biggest active funds picked stocks that beat the market in 2025 — and most still lagged their benchmark. A Morningstar do-nothing experiment and a body of academic research explain why active funds underperform even when the picking is good: skilled buying undone by poor selling, the hidden cost of trading, and the incentives that keep managers churning. The UK evidence points the same way.

Robin Powell
Jun 87 min read


The church of active fund management: what fund managers really believe
A new academic study reveals what active fund management really sounds like behind closed doors. King's College London professor Crawford Spence interviewed 28 senior fund managers and found an industry that runs on faith rather than evidence — privately conceding it overcharges and underperforms, and now pivoting to retail investors as institutional clients leave. Here's what they say off the record, and how to stop paying for someone else's faith.

Robin Powell
May 78 min read


Will Trump help active management recover its mojo?
Donald Trump’s return to the White House has investors on edge — but does more uncertainty mean it’s time to abandon passive funds in...

Robin Powell
Apr 22, 20255 min read


The "purposeful inertia" that preserves the status quo in asset management
Why does asset management move at a snail's pace? A new book claims it's down to the "purposeful inertia" of entrenched interests.

Robin Powell
Jan 27, 20254 min read
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